Majority of Scots still backing Scottish independence: 57 per cent to 43 per cent By Jack Maidment, Deputy Political Editor For Mailonline Published: 05:10 EDT, 14 January 2021 | … ©JPIMedia Publishing Ltd. All rights reserved. The Believe in Scotland survey, carried out by Panelbase, found 51% of Scots back independence, while 49% are opposed once undecided respondents were excluded. Poll Analysis: ComRes 2nd – 7th of April 2021 April 10, 2021 0 A slightly better result for the Lib Dems compared to other agencies, whilst the Conservatives fall back. Poll shows narrow support for independence but SNP falling short of a majority. Scotland could vote to separate from the U.K. in 2021. What impact is the Salmond saga having on the drive for independence? Scottish election 2021: ... a simple majority is the way the SNP will make progress on Scottish independence. THE majority of Scots would vote for independence in the next referendum, the 20th poll in a row has revealed. The SNP is on course to win a majority at Holyrood as the number of pro-independence … Survey, which is not weighted for voter turnout, is first since Nicola Sturgeon’s evidence to Holyrood inquiry, Last modified on Mon 8 Mar 2021 18.49 GMT. Sturgeon’s focus on healthcare comes against a backdrop of tensions between Edinburgh and the UK government in London over another referendum, after a breakaway was rejected in 2014. Scottish independence. "At this point the SNP look on course to win a majority of seats, but the next few weeks are set to be challenging for the party, with the Salmond inquiry ongoing – and our poll shows that this issue has started to cut through with Scottish voters.”. ... membership just now and has a commanding position in the opinion polls. INDEPENDENCE is “inevitable” – that’s the conclusion drawn by a major Yes organisation after it commissioned a new poll on the constitutional question. The pollsters found that when asked what the most important issue helping decide which party to vote for, independence came out top for most people at 44 per cent, followed by education on 32 per cent, healthcare on 25 per cent and coronavirus on 20 per cent. This follows a Scotsman poll by Savanta ComRes earlier this month which found support for independence had dropped below 50 per cent when don’t knows were included for the first time since December, with 47 per cent of Scots intending to vote Yes, 42 per cent voting No, and 10 per cent undecided. SNP Depute Leader Keith Brown, said the poll showed voters were “continuing to put their trust in the SNP”. Chris Hopkins, associate director for Savanta ComRes, said: “Although awareness of the Salmond inquiry has unsurprisingly increased since December, it’s not to say that the story has had a great impact on its protagonists, with those who say that they trust both Nicola Sturgeon and Alex Salmond more and less now increasing by virtually the same proportions. A Scottish Parliament inquiry into the government’s handling of sexual harassment allegations against Mr Salmond is due to hear from him tomorrow, with Ms Sturgeon scheduled to give evidence next Wednesday. Scottish election: Alex Salmond’s Alba gamble could yet tip scales on second independence referendum April 9, 2021 10.58am EDT William McDougall , Glasgow Caledonian University The poll found a narrow majority for Yes among those who would vote in a referendum on Scottish independence (Lesley Martin/PA) Emily Gray, Ipsos Mori Scotland managing director, said: “Our latest poll results suggest the SNP are on course to win a majority of seats at Holyrood in May. The 2021 Scottish Parliament election will be held in less than a month on Thursday, May 6, 2021. A new poll predicts that the SNP will win 72 of the 129 seats in Holyrood – nine more than now and giving the party a majority of 15 – with the Scottish Conservatives falling to 26 seats, Scottish Labour dropping to 17, while the Scottish Greens would double to nine and the Scottish Liberal Democrats gain one to five MSPs. Opinium found that when voters were asked about the upcoming Holyrood elections, the SNP would get 46% of the constituency vote, Conservatives 24%, Labour 20%, Lib Dems 6% and the Greens 4%. 63% of Scottish voters believe Scotland would vote Yes to independence if there is an independence referendum next year. The political climate in Scotland is extremely volatile with the topic of Scottish independence and post-Covid recovery ... 2021. Over half (56%) of Scots say that the UK Government should allow another independence referendum to be held within the next five years if the SNP wins a majority of seats in the 2021 Scottish Parliament elections – while 41% say that the UK Government should not allow this. However, when unsure voters are excluded, the poll by Savanta ComRes for the Scotland on Sunday newspaper indicates 52% to 48% in favour of the union. In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. — Humza Yousaf (@HumzaYousaf) March 17, 2021. Scottish elections 2021: SNP ahead for May vote, but new poll is second to show drop in support for independence The SNP is still on course to win at … The … Scottish Parliament election 2021 The campaign for the Scottish Parliament election resumes today , following the suspension agreed by the parties as a … This is lower than in November 2020, when Ipsos MORI/STV polling showed a larger Yes lead (56% Yes/ 44% No). Voters go to the polls to elect new members of the devolved Scottish Parliament in Edinburgh on May 6, with the SNP pushing hard for another vote on independence. Among those who say they would vote Labour in May, Mr Sarwar enjoys a narrow lead, with 40 per cent saying he would be the best leader compared with 35 per cent who say the same of Ms Lennon. The survey of 1,015 Scots suggests that 46% would vote against Scottish independence, compared with 43% in favour, and 10% undecided. The Opinium survey for Sky News put Yes on 51%, and No on 49% after undecided voters were removed. However, the figures have not been weighted for voter turnout meaning they’re not directly comparable with previous polls on the subject. Among those who would be likely to vote in an independence referendum, 52% say they would vote Yes while 48% would vote No. This website and its associated newspaper are members of Independent Press Standards Organisation (IPSO). 3. seat majority. A poll by Panelbase for Business for Scotland (BfS) asked the question: If there was a referendum on Independence in 2021, what side do you think would win? Meanwhile, the poll puts support for independence at 52% - still somewhat lower than in some polls last year, but no lower than the average of the polls in January. The leaders were also given the chance to cross-examine each other on … The Scottish independence referendum; If the SNP wins a majority of seats in the 2021 Scottish Parliament elections, do you think the UK Government should or should not allow them to hold another independence referendum within the next five years? The exclusive Opinium poll of Scottish voters, taken this week, also reveals 51% of Scots would support independence - against 49% who say they would remain part of the United Kingdom. Responding to the poll, a Scottish Conservative spokesman said: "At the same stage in 2016, the polls put us on lower numbers than these, but we stopped an SNP majority. An SNP majority is on a knife-edge, as is the evenly-split Independence question, and Alba languish on 3%. INDEPENDENCE is “inevitable” – that’s the conclusion drawn by a major Yes organisation after it commissioned a new poll on the constitutional question. The SNP, which has governed Scotland since 2007, is standing on the promise of a second referendum on independence following the UK's exit from the European Union and a surge in Yes support. Alba hopes to shake up May 6 elections to the Scottish parliament, a battle that could ratchet up the pressure on U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson to grant a second Scottish independence referendum. Meet the team working on Scottish Election 2021 … “With only a fifth of 2014 No voters less likely to support independence because of the saga, its impact on the first minister doesn’t look to be catastrophic – for now.”. At Edinburgh’s court of session, Lord Pentland described the investigation as “unlawful” and “tainted by apparent bias” after the government conceded the judicial review the week before the case was due to be heard in court. The seat calculations are from the 2021 Scottish Parliament swingometer. The devolved Scottish Parliament in Edinburgh has been controlled by the pro-independence Scottish National Party (SNP) since 2007, and if current opinion polls … However three in ten said they may change their mind about which party they’ll cast their constituency vote for – with Labour voters most likely to change their mind and switch to the SNP. Meanwhile, a majority of Scots continue to support Scottish independence, with the latest survey putting support for 'Yes' at 57 per cent and 'No' at 43 per cent. Meanwhile SNP voters who may change their mind are most likely to consider Labour. This poll shows people’s preference for independence either for or against, and also includes people who are unsure on their vote over time. In the regional list the SNP vote share is the largest at 47 per cent, with the Conservatives on 22 per cent, Labour dropping two percentage points to 14 per cent, the Scottish Greens on eight per cent and the Liberal Democrats on six. As of early 2021, a majority of Scots indicated support for the party at May’s Scottish Parliament election, with 63% endorsing a return to EU membership (something independence would facilitate, nationalists say). YES has taken a slim lead in the latest poll on Scottish independence, but the SNP look set to just fall short of an overall majority at the election. Elections in 2021 and the pandemic have brought the issue of Scottish independence into the spotlight. The pro-independence Scottish Green Party, which supports the SNP’s current minority government, is seen winning 11 seats, more than double the … The exclusive Opinium poll of Scottish voters, taken this week, also reveals 51% of Scots would support independence - against 49% who say they would remain part of the United Kingdom. Scottish election 2021: Here is how Scots across Courier country split on Holyrood voting and independence by Andy Philip and Lesley-Anne Kelly March 25 2021, 1.50pm Updated: April 4 2021… Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. SNP. The committee on the Scottish government handling of harassment complaints was set up after Salmond successfully challenged the lawfulness of the government’s investigation into him. This page contains the Scottish Parliament swingometer used to predict election results for the next Scottish election scheduled to be held in 2021. Pro-independence Supermajority in Scottish Elections Adds Risk to the Near-Term Pound Sterling ... Opinion polls have suggested that the SNP will be very close to an overall ... March 28 2021. Nicola Sturgeon also remains the highest rated party leader among the Scottish public, with a ‘net’ satisfaction rating of +32 – although this is 16 points lower than in October 2020. Scottish voters will head to the polls in less than a month to elect 129 Members of Scottish Parliament (MSPs). The new Panelbase poll, commissioned by The Times, found that 52% of people in Scotland support indyref2. Scottish election 2021: Poll shows SNP on course for majority, in boost for independence campaign. Data released by Savanta ComRes revealed that backing f… A new opinion poll has found 57% of people saying they would vote for Scotland to remain in the United Kingdom. Support for independence has slipped, although Yes retains a narrow lead. Poll suggests No vote lead as Salmond inquiry drives voters away from Scottish independence Savanta ComRes conducted the online survey of 1,105 Scottish adults (16+), on 4th — 6th March 2021. Most Scots would vote to remain in the UK if an independence referendum were held tomorrow, a new poll … "That’s important for Scotland’s political parties, since independence is the top issue voters say will help them make up their minds about which party to vote for in May’s Holyrood elections. But Brexit is a double-edged sword for the SNP. The poll, by Ipsos MORI for STV News, found that among those expressing a voting intention, 52 per cent of Scots are likely to vote for the SNP in the constituency vote at the Holyrood elections, a fall of three percentage points since last November, while 23 per cent said they would vote for the Scottish Conservatives and just 15 per cent back Scottish Labour. Want to join the conversation? Another 16% said the inquiry was making them more likely to vote yes, with 41% saying it had made no difference. Scottish election: Alex Salmond’s Alba gamble could yet tip scales on second independence referendum April 9, 2021 10.58am EDT William McDougall , Glasgow Caledonian University The SNP depute leader, Keith Brown, ... READ MORE: 'No' takes the lead in two new Scottish Independence polls as support for SNP slips. But trust in Salmond has fallen even further, with 57% of respondents believing him less than before the inquiry began. Labour accused of refusing to rule out second Scottish independence referendum It comes as a new survey suggests that 60% of UK Labour supporters back another poll, but just 31% of … On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2021 Scottish … Many opinion polls were conducted about Scottish independence before the referendum … He added: “The people of Scotland want to have their say on Scotland’s future in a post-pandemic referendum, and the clearest way to secure that opportunity is with an SNP majority in May. As a result it found that 36 per cent of Scots say the Holyrood inquiry has made them less favourable towards the SNP, although most – 58 per cent – say it has made no difference to their view of the party. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.. Support for independence weakens in latest poll. Support continues in polls for Scottish independence. Much of the political discussion has been about what will happen after an expected Scottish National Party (SNP) landslide in elections to the devolved Scottish Parliament to be held on 6 May. When the don’t knows were excluded, the support for independence was 53 per cent, with No backed by 47 per cent of Scots. Scottish election 2021: Who should I vote for? Win. Over the past few months, with polls showing consistent support for Scottish independence, the feeling has grown that Scotland leaving the United Kingdom is less a matter of if than when. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Scots are split on whether Anas Sarwar or Monica Lennon would make the best leader for Scottish Labour – 28 per cent say Mr Sarwar would be the best leader and 25 per cent favour Ms Lennon, while 44 per cent don’t know. The YouGov survey … A Scottish Saltire flag hangs in the window of an apartment in Edinburgh, Scotland, next to the EU flag in August 2020. The former SNP leader, who led the yes campaign in the 2014 independence referendum, was awarded a £512,250 payout after it emerged the investigating officer was found to have had prior contact with two of the female complainers. The poll is the first to be carried out since Nicola Sturgeon and Alex Salmond gave evidence to the Holyrood inquiry into the investigation of the former first minister. 12 of the most influential Scottish TikTok stars to follow - from Nathan Evans to NatiDreddd, Edinburgh police end illegal funeral wake in city home as three charged and 12 fined for breaching Covid rules. Among those who voted SNP at the last General Election, 21 per cent said it has made them less favourable towards the SNP. A new poll on Scottish independence is the first in 22 not to show support in favour of splitting the UK in what may be a response to events surrounding former First Minister Alex Salmond. Scottish election 2021: a visual guide on what to expect A majority of independence-supporting MSPs in next month’s Holyrood election will give Nicola Sturgeon her mandate to … Since the establishment of Scotland’s parliament in 1999, there have been a minimum* of 9,658 mentions of Scottish independence, or keywords used in reference to independence. As of early 2021, a majority of Scots indicated support for the party at May’s Scottish Parliament election, with 63% endorsing a return to EU membership (something independence would facilitate, nationalists say). According to the poll, 43% said their trust in Sturgeon had fallen as a result of the inquiry. “The SNP is looking forward to the election campaign where we will work to win support from across Scotland to continue to protect people from Covid, support Scotland’s NHS, create jobs, and make sure that as we recover from the pandemic, Scotland’s future is decided by the people who live here, not Boris Johnson’s Tory party. Last modified on Sat 6 Mar 2021 19.23 EST. Carried out in the two days after the Sturgeon, the current first minister, appeared before the committee, the survey found 35% of respondents said the inquiry was making them less likely to vote for independence. ... 2021. Scottish Labour leadership hopeful open to independence poll This article is more than 1 month old Monica Lennon says if pro-independence parties win majority in … Given that Yes-supporting parliamentarians have accounted for 42.3 per cent of MSPs since the parliament’s creation, they have been responsible for a disproportionate number (50.4 per cent) of contributions on … A NEW opinion poll is the 21st in a row to show support for Scottish independence – just months ahead of the crunch Holyrood elections. As Scotland's largest opposition party, we can do so again in May's election.”. Excluding the don't knows, 63% thought that Scotland would vote Yes. On 6 May, voters in Scotland will head to the polls and elect their new parliament at Holyrood. Figures backing economic argument for independence 'out of d... Can you travel to Scotland from England? Commenting on the poll Emily Gray, managing director of Ipsos MORI Scotland, said: “This latest poll shows a fall in support for independence, and a corresponding increase in support for staying in the Union – though Yes still has a four-point lead over No. Updated: 8 Apr 2021, 13:29 A NEW Holyrood election poll has put the SNP on course for a majority - with no seats for Alex Salmond's Alba party. The latest poll comes as the SNP is embroiled in internal divisions over allegations by former first minister Alex Salmond that the government of Nicola Sturgeon and others conspired to “remove” him from public life. election campaign where we will work to win support from across Scotland. The Scottish Saltire flies next to the British union flag. Co-leader Lorna Slater said: “We’ll continue to put the work in to show exactly why electing more Green MSPs will make a difference.”. A new opinion poll has found that just under a third of Scottish Labour voters back another independence referendum in the next five years.. Where do the parties stand in the polls? At 48% on the constituency vote, the party is down by three points on its average standing in the polls conducted in January. The results showed 47 per cent of Scots intended to vote Yes while 42 per cent wanted No, and 10 per cent undecided. Please register or log in to comment on this article. All 129 Members of Scottish Parliament (MSPs) will be elected. Pro-independence Supermajority in Scottish Elections Adds Risk to the Near-Term Pound Sterling ... Opinion polls have suggested that the SNP will be very close to an overall ... March 28 2021. The Believe in Scotland survey, carried out by Panelbase, found 51% of Scots back independence, while 49% are opposed once undecided respondents were excluded. Information on how the 2021 Scottish Parliament election polling average is … With the polls already showing majority support for Scottish statehood, victory, if and when a second referendum is called, remains theirs to achieve, he said. As our Scottish independence poll tracker shows, this election is expected to prove pivotal. Pro-independence parties tipped for big majority in Scottish election poll. With don’t knows included, the figures are 48 per cent for Yes and 44 per cent for no with seven per cent undecided. Asked if the UK government should allow a second independence referendum within the next five years if the SNP does win a majority in May, 56 per cent of those polled said it should, while 41 per cent said Boris Johnson should not grant a new vote on separation – a fall of eight percentage points since October last year. Sat 6 Mar 2021 19.18 EST Most Scots would vote to remain in the UK if an independence referendum were held tomorrow, a new poll has found. And in the event the SNP does wins a majority but the UK government refuses a Section 30 Order, 42 per cent said the Scottish Government should accept that decision, although 34 per cent think it should go to court to “establish a legal basis” for holding a referendum. “That is what people across the country are focused on and that is what we will do.”. The SNP responded, saying: “With Scotland on Sunday/Savanta ComRes themselves stating that this poll is not comparable to previous polls and has not been properly weighted, it should be treated with caution. The Scottish independence referendum Scottish election 2021: Poll shows SNP on course for majority, in boost for independence campaign The survey by Ipsos Mori showed that Nicola Sturgeon’s party … Over the past few months, with polls showing consistent support for Scottish independence, the feeling has grown that Scotland leaving the United Kingdom is less a matter of if than when.. Much of the political discussion has been about what will happen after an expected Scottish National Party (SNP) landslide in elections to the devolved Scottish Parliament to be held on 6 May. A minority, 43%, backed leaving the … Elections in 2021 and the pandemic have brought the issue of Scottish Parliament swingometer used to predict results. 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