Follow Me on Twitter - https://twitter.com/sixringofsteel Main Channel - youtube.com/user/SixringsofsteeI Twitch - Twitch.tv/sixringsofsteel But what that doesn't mean is that there aren't Hall of Fame-level players on the field right now. We think they'll be a little short. Speaking of the Hall-of-Fame, there is a whole lot of Hall-of-Fame-level talent today in the NBA. That includes Bird and Magic Johnson's 1980s, Charles Barkley and Michael Jordan's 1990s and Tim Duncan and Kobe Bryant's 2000s. But then I remember that when thinking about the players already in the HoF, the names that come to … A year ago, we had Robinson Canó on this list, but not only will he be off the field in 2021, his second suspension for performance-enhancing substances might ruin his candidacy anyway. Lindor, Seager, Story and Correa are all part of an incredible wave of shortstop talent. Votto is entering his age-37 campaign and is clearly past his prime, yet he's been above-average in 12 seasons, and when you're looking at the list of players who have had a career OBP above .400 and a career SLG above .500, you have to try hard to find reasons not to put them in the Hall. Most of the others over 90 percent are obvious as well. One constant is that the Basketball Hall of Fame has more memorable stars than other sports. There were 1,030 players who had at least one plate appearance in 1990, with 28 of these players already in the Hall of Fame. Let's be clear, Molina is probably going to get in. Here's the complete list of active players who are averaging at least 0.156 win shares per 48 minutes for their careers (minimum 5,000 minutes): You may be scratching your head upon seeing the likes of Hassan Whiteside, Dwight Powell, Brandan Wright and a handful of other bigs. There are dozens of them. Let's consider those, as well as Melo and Vince Carter, our good bets. There were the aging legends in their 40s, their legacy long since secured, like Dave Winfield, George Brett and Carlton Fisk. Another decent season or two from either would just be gravy at this point. Perhaps the best we can do is a ballpark estimate. In fact, 14 future Hall of Famers entered the NBA over a four-year period (1984-87) in the mid-80s. Active players are listed in bold text Members of the Hall of Fame are marked with an asterisk (*) Explanation of Hall … Probably one of those things will happen. [basketball-reference.com] Close. B) But even Chapman, who has been excellent for a decade, has barely thrown as many innings in his career (547 1/3) as deGrom has since 2018 (489), and it would have been more equal if 2020 had been a full season. 69. Stats for Bernard King Mike Trout (73 WAR) No, Trout doesn't have the most WAR on this list. It seems pretty likely the same might happen in 2022, too. Right now in the NBA, some of the greatest ever are already worth a call to the Hall. There are so many great players. It remains possible he can get back late in the season; still, we're assuming we'll next see him in 2022. With 48 All-Star selections, 11 NBA championships and four Most Valuable Player awards between them, Tim Duncan, Kobe Bryant and Kevin Garnett will form arguably the greatest Hall of … With each player, we'll list their career FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement total. More than anything, though, the standard by which NBA players enter the Hall of Fame is the most bothersome. The NBA is flush with talent—perhaps more so than it has ever been before. This past season alone, there were over a dozen players who performed at what we would have considered MVP-level in the past. Perhaps Ke'Bryan Hayes really is an all-time third baseman, or Will Smith is the next great catcher. Carter has 24,514 and counting. To cherry-pick just one year: In 1993, there were 41 future Hall of Famers playing. If it stretches to 40, that's nearly 10 percent of the NBA on the way to the Hall of Fame. They're inner-circle right-handed sluggers. Many years from now, the players of today's game will be all over the halls of the Hall of Fame. LeBron James is a fixture in GOAT debates. (See: 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016.) 1. View this gallery (10 Photos) Bet Like A Hall Of Famer. But he'll get in, and that's all that matters. These NBA players should have their Hall of Fame credentials revoked. Who gets in? It will not be difficult to get there. Worst NBA Hall Of Famers Next Image. Larry Costello. From 1980 to 1989, the average NBA rookie class produced two Hall of Famers per year. The standards are pretty low for NBA HOF so I would say all except Blake, Bosh, Deron Williams and I'm not too sure about Dwight. We'll list between 35 and 40 players. Top 10 active NBA players who are already Hall of Fame worthy The class of 2018 joining the Basketball Hall of Fame is stacked. Yes, he gets his own tier anyway. NBA players must be retired for four consecutive seasons to be eligible for induction into the Hall of Fame. Russell Westbrook is coming off three straight seasons averaging a triple-double. The eligible statistical categories include PTS, TRB, AST, MP, STL, BLK. But we're not out yet. Let's say he's slightly worse at the plate, and ends up with a career OPS+ of 130. The list of players who have done that isn't long, as it consists of Lawrence Taylor, Barry Sanders, Emmitt Smith, Patrick Willis, Aaron Donald and Martin. He's already been more valuable than legends like Willie McCovey (67 WAR), Duke Snider (… Vince Carter: Great player greatest dunker of all time but hasn't done anything Hall of Fame Worthy. Still, relievers are getting in, and Chapman is the best of them. *Justin Verlander (71.8 WAR) is also no-doubt Hall of Famer in our book, but there's a strong chance he won't be seen in 2021 as he recovers from Tommy John surgery. We can guarantee some of these players will be inducted in the Hall of Fame someday. Position: Small forward. That leads to another point, though. 1 prospect, debuts this year? Not everyone in the NBA Hall of Fame is a Legend. And we haven't even gotten to ... ... right. You can stack up the talent in this era against any other. Short version: Watch these guys while you can. He's a nine-time All-Star, a nine-time Gold Glover and a two-time World Series winner, and if there's anyone who has ever gained from a reputation of carrying those unquantifiable catching skills to guide a pitching staff, it's him. Over the last two seasons, he's made only 166 plate appearances. It is almost inconceivable, save for an off-the-field reason, to imagine a Hall of Fame without Trout in it. Acuña is only ever so slightly behind, and he's a better fielder and runner. I mean, it's just amazing how these guys are playing the game today.". Tony Parker He has over 18,900 career points, 6,800 assists, and 3,300 rebounds. But even that doesn't feel like a satisfactory answer. This seems like a fair way to award credit for both black and gray ink. Kobe Bryant, Kevin Garnett and Tim Duncan headline a standout nine-person Hall of … The Baseball Writers' Association of America elected no new Hall of Famers for 2021. It's almost certain this is not the same list you'd have. Alright, let’s get the most obvious one out of the way first. For example: what if Wander Franco, consensus No. The 2020 Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame class is one for the ages. (On the field, anyway; we'll have to see how future voters consider his 2016 suspension for violating the domestic violence policy.) But I would not be surprised to see all the rest there. Klay Thompson, Damian Lillard and Kawhi Leonard all have at least a few prime years left. If you take the 145 players who are already in the Hall and divide their combined win shares by their combined minutes and then multiply by 48, you get 0.156. Perhaps that's where some combination of the two numbers may come in handy. Still, there are very good reasons to believe he will get in. There are a few ways to tackle this, the most obvious being Basketball Reference's "Hall of Fame Probability" model: "Players receive points for appearing on leaderboards, receiving 10 points for leading the league in a category and 1 point for finishing 10th. Well, we've been writing versions of this article for a while now. With that in mind, let's take a look at the top 25 for active Hall of Fame probability: Dwyane Wade and Dirk Nowitzki aren't technically active anymore, but taking them out still leaves us at 18 players with at least a 50 percent shot at getting into the Hall, according to this model. Kevin Durant and James Harden are two of the greatest scorers the game has ever seen. No. Larry Costello was a point guard in the earliest days of the NBA, and he made six All … This is a glorious era of NBA basketball. Stephen Curry is the greatest three-point shooter of all time. Willie Mays, at 42 years old, got into 66 games for the Mets before retiring. Greinke doesn't have quite the same hardware, but he's still going strong at 37, and he won't have any problem getting in. "That's crazy, man. Durant has two titles and the sixth-best career scoring average in league history. Basketball-Reference Hall of Fame probability: 94.55 percent Every player with at least 20,000 career points is in the Hall of Fame (except Tom Chambers). Probably most of them won't. The list of predictor variables is: Height (in. He did just strike out 17 per nine in 2020, after all, and he holds the all-time record for strikeout rate. In 1973, there were 40 future Hall of Famers playing, despite several fewer teams, and it was the same kind of spread. Twenty-four hitters have done that for a career; of them, 21 are Hall of Fame eligible. “The Big Fundamental” has been the league’s preeminent post player since the early 2000’s. We think he'll come up short for Cooperstown, as he's had a 4.89 ERA in the four seasons since he turned 30, but maybe he'll yet surprise us. In Machado, Harper and Bryant, you have highly hyped prospects who were top picks and have largely delivered on that promise. ', Hall of Fame Probability (If Retiring Today). No, Fernando Tatis Jr. isn't here yet, just because he has less than half as many plate appearances as either of these two. Maybe Luis Robert is the real deal. For example, 2019 MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo is 30th among active players with an 8.2 percent chance to get in. Posted by [IND] Tyler Hansbrough. There were the aging legends in their 40s, their legacy long since secured, like Dave Winfield, George Brett and Carlton Fisk. Apr 14, 2020. These are likely the worst 10 players currently in the NBA Hall of Fame. Slam dunks? Below, you'll find that educated guess, sorted roughly by how much of a lock each player is to get in. But we are up to 40 names now, aren't we? > Hoophall.com: Browse Hall of Famers. You get the idea. The class of 2018 joining the Basketball Hall of Fame is stacked. The list could swell even more if it included everyone who has a realistic chance. But how many? Bird is right. "You see these old, broken-down NBA players talking about their era and how great they were back then and the players today are not as good as they were back then," Larry Bird said in an acceptance speech for the 2019 Lifetime Achievement Award. OK, we told you Tatis would pop up again, and here he is. As you'll see, the bottom of the list is mostly youngsters. We're not saying it's guaranteed, or maybe even likely. To get a better sense of which players will be following Nash and Kidd into the Hall in the not-too-distant future, let’s conduct a thought experiment. Freeman, Goldschmidt and Rizzo have been among the preeminent first basemen of the last decade. 30. "Wow, can't beilive people think these guys are HoFers. Although it can be risky to make predictions for active players, you can think of these probabilities as answering the question, 'If this player retired today, what is the probability he would be elected to the Hall of Fame?'". If you think it's too soon to talk about this, you haven't been paying attention to how great they've been over the past three seasons. Who are they, and where should you look in 2021 if you want to see a living legend? This year’s Hall of Fame class has recently just been announced, and with Kobe Bryant, Tim Duncan, and Kevin Garnett all in the fold, this is easily one of the best classes we’ve seen thus far. u/gains_ 4 years ago. Only players with at least 50 career Win Shares are displayed. Tom Seaver, Joe Morgan, Reggie Jackson and many more. Tim Duncan. What if Randy Arozarena's postseason heroics were just the tip of the iceberg? It's a difficult quandary, and it won't get easier, especially as the save becomes less meaningful as a metric. Brett, hilariously, counts on this list as well, getting into 13 games as a 20-year-old rookie. And it's way too early to talk Hall of Fame, but players such as Luka Doncic, Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid are off to hot starts. LeBron is first all time in career box plus/minus, has averaged 27.2 points, 7.4 rebounds and 7.2 assists over 16 seasons and has three titles. The Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame added 11 new members on Saturday with the 2017 class, which includes Tracy McGrady, Rebecca Lobo and Jerry Krause. And those are just the guys we can forecast getting in with some confidence. Perhaps the last few years might motivate some to question the candidacies of Dwight Howard or Carmelo Anthony, but both built strong resumes prior to their recent downturns. And yet: whenever he plays, he mashes. At least we can now give an educated guess, though. Players are eligible for the Hall of Fame after they have been fully retired from play for at least three years. You're likely to run out of fingers and toes if you try to count up the number of guys who have a case for the Hall of Fame. Finishing out great careers? Because it has no rhyme or reason. As always, entrance to the Hall is not merely a "count the WAR" exercise. There were the in-their-prime superstars, like Tony Gwynn, Greg Maddux and Ken Griffey Jr. In the history of baseball, only six players have gotten off to a better hitting start than Soto, and you don't need last names to know who "Ted, Ty, and Rogers" are. Tim Duncan is the greatest power forward to ever play the game of basketball (Sorry Karl Malone). There are only two players in the 2021 class who are locks to make the cut: Paul Pierce and Chris Bosh. NBA & ABA Leaders and Records for Hall of Fame Probability. That said, if you're not ranking well in a stat intended to capture total value, you're going to have a pretty hard time getting in -- except, as you'll see, for relievers. For context, the average Hall of Famer has been 50-70 WAR, and the best of the best, Barry Bonds and Babe Ruth, were north of 160 WAR. Born: Dec. 4, 1956 (Brooklyn, New York) Hall of Fame year: 1990. 2021 Hall of Fame Candidates. Soto turned 22 in October, Acuña turned 23 in December. The Hall of Fame is comprised of 333 elected members. A year from now, if he has the 2021 we expect -- we did name him the best shortstop in baseball for the upcoming season, after all -- perhaps he'll be up there with Soto and Acuña. Are these players future Hall of Famers? Win shares is a number that tends to favor that kind of player. It leaves out players such as Nikola Jokic, Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert. What we've come to realize is that each year, there are something like 35 to 40 future Hall of Famers playing. Not on our list, but worth mentioning: It seems like there's a decent chance Félix Hernández makes the 2021 Orioles. If we eliminate every player from the win shares table who has a sub-1 percent chance based on Hall of Fame probability, the list is whittled down to 22. Maybe that says a lot about the flawed process, or the flaws of the men at the top of the ballot. You might advocate for other names here -- we'll hear arguments for Jack Flaherty, Ozzie Albies, Aaron Judge, Lucas Giolito or others. The Lakers have more future Hall of Famers than anyone in the NBA, with three locks and a possible fourth in Rondo. To cherry-pick just one year: In 1993, there were 41 future Hall of Famers playing. Due to pandemic delays, the Basketball Hall of Fame will be inducting two classes in 2021. Some of them it feels like are only even in for team accomplishments!" Included are 263 former major league players, as well as 38 executives/pioneers, 22 managers and 10 umpires. I chose these guys based on consistency over many years and playing in the same era. Basketball Reference acknowledges that the model only answers the following: "If this player retired today, what is the probability he would be elected to the Hall of Fame?". OAKLAND, CA - JUNE 19: Stephen Curry #30 of … Some of them were not at all great players. We can also guarantee not all will. We can acknowledge all that and still point out that he's short on the numbers, because a career 98 OPS+ doesn't stand out -- especially when you consider that many Hall of Fame catchers were far better hitters, like how Johnny Bench had a 126 OPS+ or Gary Carter had a 115 OPS+ -- and that's going to be an important part of the conversation. It won't be unanimous. But he's got the awards (2010 NL Rookie of the Year, '12 NL Most Valuable Player), a seven-year run as one of the most elite players in the game, three rings, and the fact that we know we're not quantifying all the things a catcher can do. How many current NBA players will be in the Basketball Hall of Fame? - 1 - Hall of Famers: Category: Year: Played in the NBA: 1960 USA Men's Olympic Team Team: 2010: 1992 USA Men's Olympic Team Team: 2010 Probably. Great careers that might be looked upon even more favorably as the electorate continues to accept advanced metrics as time goes on? Dwyane Wade and Dirk Nowitzki aren't technically active anymore, but taking them out still leaves us at 18 players with at least a 50 percent shot at getting into the Hall, according to this model. Dates for future Hall of Fame Induction Ceremonies include: 2021: Sunday, July 25 2022: Sunday, July 24 2023: Sunday, July 23. A complete list of all inductees in the Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame: 2020. You always do. George Mikan, Jerry West, James Worthy, Wilt Chamberlain, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Magic Johnson, Shaquille O’Neal are just some of the most famous and glorious names of Los Angeles Hall of Famers. Maybe that says a lot about the flawed process, or the flaws of the men at the top of the ballot. For now, let's see him have a full season. With three future Hall of Famers on the bench -- Gregg Popovich, Tim Duncan and Becky Hammon -- Aldridge has the best case among the players on the Spurs' roster. For most of the players around or under 50 percent, there's still time to climb the leaderboard. Another way to look at this question utilizes players' averages for career win shares per 48 minutes. You really have players from all around the spectrum here. James is a no-brainer. LeBron and Durant are both at 100 percent, which should surprise no one. OAKLAND, CA - JUNE 19: Stephen Curry #30 … Shawn Marion: Good defender, Great scorer but … If you factor in the younger players and a few other outliers who weren't caught by either statistical exercise, you can easily imagine the number exceeding 30. Betts is, at worst, one of the three best players in the game right now. There were the in-their-prime superstars, like Tony Gwynn, Greg Maddux and Ken Griffey Jr. In the future, several stars playing in 2019 will join recent retirees in having their greatness immortalized in Canton, but many good players are likely to fall short. 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